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投票背后的心理学

2015-05-12 佚名 译言网

投票情绪环境意识
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这点在戈尔与小布什2000年大选那年表现犹为突出。这都怪当年老天爷不作美，又是干旱又是洪水。政治科学家拉里.巴特尔斯（Larry Bartels）和克里斯多夫.阿切（ChristopherAchen）对此非常担忧：选民们会因为坏天气而怪罪在任的民主党吗？而当年的投票分析表明：民主党在54个州的支持率仅上升了3.6个百分点，比他们预期的低。作者专门指出：“2千9百万民众因为他们所在的州要


这点在戈尔与小布什2000年大选那年表现犹为突出。这都怪当年老天爷不作美，又是干旱又是洪水。政治科学家拉里.巴特尔斯（Larry Bartels）和克里斯多夫.阿切（ChristopherAchen）对此非常担忧：选民们会因为坏天气而怪罪在任的民主党吗？而当年的投票分析表明：民主党在54个州的支持率仅上升了3.6个百分点，比他们预期的低。作者专门指出：“2千9百万民众因为他们所在的州要么旱要么涝而没有投票给戈尔。”

想不想投票、想投给谁，不光老天爷会来掺合一脚，橄榄球比赛也会。一项对美国44年选举结果的研究发现，大选十天前的大学运动会会对大选产生影响，而且竟然是对现任政党有利的影响。

如果投票结果来自无意识的偏见，那是否会降低投票的有效合法性？“这是个很有意思的问题。”英巴说道：“如果我说出你喜欢冰淇淋的原因，那是否意味你不能再喜欢它了？我觉得不会这样。”

但愿这章文章可以提醒你，在下次投票前，好好想想，有没有什么因素干扰了你。排除杂念，投给你真正想要投给的人.

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  1. [GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23488, encodeId=c0c3234887e, content=好看！, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=128, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=, createdBy=d5571624672, createdName=Wuyue6233, createdTime=Wed May 13 22:20:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23355, encodeId=a8652335515, content=看看, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=154, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=null, createdBy=ee0d1618732, createdName=huaxipanxing, createdTime=Wed May 13 20:33:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23294, encodeId=e4c12329454, content=有意思, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=125, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=null, createdBy=f0620, createdName=hbwang006, createdTime=Wed May 13 15:33:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23278, encodeId=b706232e831, content=很精练的一篇文章, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=116, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=https://wx.qlogo.cn/mmopen/oLAjfB7s1ib06iaV3D9Tg5K3r6Ir8EADbw8kut6NgpfYKrksLd7rsf9GSZGCUZkpHosu8Jsibzk64KSuO8dFfOW7J5kW4bjib4eI/0, createdBy=d0201619051, createdName=吴颖, createdTime=Wed May 13 09:03:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=)]
    2015-05-13 Wuyue6233

    好看！

    0

  2. [GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23488, encodeId=c0c3234887e, content=好看！, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=128, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=, createdBy=d5571624672, createdName=Wuyue6233, createdTime=Wed May 13 22:20:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23355, encodeId=a8652335515, content=看看, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=154, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=null, createdBy=ee0d1618732, createdName=huaxipanxing, createdTime=Wed May 13 20:33:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23294, encodeId=e4c12329454, content=有意思, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=125, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=null, createdBy=f0620, createdName=hbwang006, createdTime=Wed May 13 15:33:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23278, encodeId=b706232e831, content=很精练的一篇文章, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=116, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=https://wx.qlogo.cn/mmopen/oLAjfB7s1ib06iaV3D9Tg5K3r6Ir8EADbw8kut6NgpfYKrksLd7rsf9GSZGCUZkpHosu8Jsibzk64KSuO8dFfOW7J5kW4bjib4eI/0, createdBy=d0201619051, createdName=吴颖, createdTime=Wed May 13 09:03:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=)]
    2015-05-13 huaxipanxing

    看看

    0

  3. [GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23488, encodeId=c0c3234887e, content=好看！, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=128, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=, createdBy=d5571624672, createdName=Wuyue6233, createdTime=Wed May 13 22:20:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23355, encodeId=a8652335515, content=看看, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=154, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=null, createdBy=ee0d1618732, createdName=huaxipanxing, createdTime=Wed May 13 20:33:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23294, encodeId=e4c12329454, content=有意思, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=125, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=null, createdBy=f0620, createdName=hbwang006, createdTime=Wed May 13 15:33:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23278, encodeId=b706232e831, content=很精练的一篇文章, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=116, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=https://wx.qlogo.cn/mmopen/oLAjfB7s1ib06iaV3D9Tg5K3r6Ir8EADbw8kut6NgpfYKrksLd7rsf9GSZGCUZkpHosu8Jsibzk64KSuO8dFfOW7J5kW4bjib4eI/0, createdBy=d0201619051, createdName=吴颖, createdTime=Wed May 13 09:03:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=)]
    2015-05-13 hbwang006

    有意思

    0

  4. [GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23488, encodeId=c0c3234887e, content=好看！, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=128, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=, createdBy=d5571624672, createdName=Wuyue6233, createdTime=Wed May 13 22:20:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23355, encodeId=a8652335515, content=看看, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=154, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=null, createdBy=ee0d1618732, createdName=huaxipanxing, createdTime=Wed May 13 20:33:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23294, encodeId=e4c12329454, content=有意思, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=125, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=null, createdBy=f0620, createdName=hbwang006, createdTime=Wed May 13 15:33:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=), GetPortalCommentsPageByObjectIdResponse(id=23278, encodeId=b706232e831, content=很精练的一篇文章, beContent=null, objectType=article, channel=null, level=null, likeNumber=116, replyNumber=0, topicName=null, topicId=null, topicList=[], attachment=null, authenticateStatus=null, createdAvatar=https://wx.qlogo.cn/mmopen/oLAjfB7s1ib06iaV3D9Tg5K3r6Ir8EADbw8kut6NgpfYKrksLd7rsf9GSZGCUZkpHosu8Jsibzk64KSuO8dFfOW7J5kW4bjib4eI/0, createdBy=d0201619051, createdName=吴颖, createdTime=Wed May 13 09:03:00 CST 2015, time=2015-05-13, status=1, ipAttribution=)]
    2015-05-13 吴颖

    很精练的一篇文章

    0